Georgia St.

Conference:	SB
Expected RPI:	120.0
Current RPI:	120
Expected SOS:	263
Current SOS:	263
Current Record:	22-10
Expected Record:	22-10
Current Conf Record:	15-6
Expected Conf Record:	15-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	2-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	7-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	13-4
Current OOC Record:	7-4
Expected OOC Record:	7-4
Expected OOC RPI:	167
Expected OOC SOS:	318

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
22-10	120.0	100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Georgia St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Location	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-14	Rice (328.0)	CUSA	A	54-75	W	100%
11-17	Mississippi (141.0)	SEC	A	77-72	L	0%
11-20	Eastern Washington (122.0)	BSky	N	50-68	W	100%
11-22	Prairie View A&M (247.0)	SWAC	N	56-71	L	0%
11-26	Tulane (175.0)	Amer	H	70-59	W	100%
11-29	Alabama A&M (350.0)	SWAC	A	53-63	W	100%
12-4	Liberty (211.0)	BSth	H	74-77	L	0%
12-9	Montana (76.0)	BSky	H	71-68	W	100%
12-16	Dayton (146.0)	A10	A	88-83	L	0%
12-20	Massachusetts (240.0)	A10	A	63-71	W	100%
12-23	Chattanooga (304.0)	SC	A	48-71	W	100%
12-29	South Alabama (270.0)	SB	A	86-64	L	0%
12-31	Troy (194.0)	SB	A	68-66	L	0%
1-4	Little Rock (308.0)	SB	H	73-64	W	100%
1-6	Arkansas St. (291.0)	SB	H	79-75	W	100%
1-11	Appalachian St. (250.0)	SB	A	58-71	W	100%
1-13	Coastal Carolina (246.0)	SB	A	58-72	W	100%
1-20	Georgia Southern (140.0)	SB	H	83-66	W	100%
1-25	UT Arlington (108.0)	SB	H	81-75	W	100%
1-27	Texas St. (243.0)	SB	H	54-50	W	100%
2-1	Arkansas St. (291.0)	SB	A	66-77	W	100%
2-3	Little Rock (308.0)	SB	A	51-81	W	100%
2-8	Louisiana Lafayette (63.0)	SB	H	106-92	W	100%
2-10	Louisiana Monroe (219.0)	SB	H	82-90	L	0%
2-16	Georgia Southern (140.0)	SB	A	85-80	L	0%
2-22	Texas St. (243.0)	SB	A	50-77	W	100%
2-24	UT Arlington (108.0)	SB	A	89-81	L	0%
3-1	Troy (194.0)	SB	H	70-83	L	0%
3-3	South Alabama (270.0)	SB	H	90-75	W	100%
3-9	Troy (194.0)	SB	N	73-51	W	100%
3-10	Georgia Southern (140.0)	SB	N	73-67	W	100%
3-11	UT Arlington (108.0)	SB	N	74-61	W	100%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Georgia St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Georgia St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Georgia St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
Georgia St.	SB	26.46	26.46	71.43	71.43	11.34	11.34
Georgia Southern	SB	5.53	5.53	64.29	64.29	1.58	1.58
UT Arlington	SB	5.46	5.46	63.33	63.33	1.46	1.46
Troy	SB	5.43	5.43	42.86	42.86	-0.78	-0.78
South Alabama	SB	3.96	3.96	39.29	39.29	-0.85	-0.85
Texas St.	SB	3.94	3.94	44.83	44.83	-0.41	-0.41
Arkansas St.	SB	3.87	3.87	32.14	32.14	-1.38	-1.38
Little Rock	SB	3.87	3.87	21.43	21.43	-2.21	-2.21
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.60	2.60	83.33	83.33	1.73	1.73
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.57	2.57	44.44	44.44	-0.29	-0.29
Appalachian St.	SB	2.57	2.57	43.33	43.33	-0.34	-0.34
Coastal Carolina	SB	2.50	2.50	39.29	39.29	-0.54	-0.54
Rice	CUSA	1.71	1.71	17.86	17.86	-1.10	-1.10
Mississippi	SEC	1.61	1.61	35.48	35.48	-0.47	-0.47
Tulane	Amer	1.61	1.61	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Eastern Washington	BSky	1.61	1.61	58.06	58.06	0.26	0.26
Massachusetts	A10	1.61	1.61	40.62	40.62	-0.30	-0.30
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	1.61	1.61	43.75	43.75	-0.20	-0.20
Montana	BSky	1.61	1.61	80.00	80.00	0.97	0.97
Alabama A&M	SWAC	1.61	1.61	10.00	10.00	-1.29	-1.29
Dayton	A10	1.61	1.61	43.33	43.33	-0.21	-0.21
Chattanooga	SC	1.56	1.56	26.67	26.67	-0.73	-0.73
Liberty	BSth	1.56	1.56	53.33	53.33	0.10	0.10
East Tennessee St.	SC	0.23	0.23	71.88	71.88	0.10	0.10
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.22	0.22	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
North Dakota	BSky	0.20	0.20	33.33	33.33	-0.07	-0.07
Western Carolina	SC	0.20	0.20	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Miss	CUSA	0.18	0.18	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
George Mason	A10	0.17	0.17	48.48	48.48	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.15	0.15	58.06	58.06	0.02	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.15	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	WAC	0.15	0.15	33.33	33.33	-0.05	-0.05
UT Rio Grande Valley	WAC	0.15	0.15	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.15	0.15	40.62	40.62	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.15	0.15	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.15	0.15	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
UTSA	CUSA	0.13	0.13	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
South Florida	Amer	0.13	0.13	31.25	31.25	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Grambling St.	SWAC	0.13	0.13	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.13	0.13	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
North Texas	CUSA	0.12	0.12	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
VCU	A10	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.12	0.12	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Southern Utah	BSky	0.12	0.12	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.12	0.12	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.12	0.12	44.12	44.12	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.12	0.12	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
FIU	CUSA	0.11	0.11	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	CUSA	0.11	0.11	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Abilene Christian	Slnd	0.10	0.10	44.44	44.44	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	Amer	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Savannah St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	70.59	70.59	0.04	0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.10	31.03	31.03	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hawaii	BW	0.10	0.10	53.57	53.57	0.01	0.01
Houston	Amer	0.10	0.10	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.10	0.10	13.33	13.33	-0.07	-0.07
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	16.67	16.67	-0.07	-0.07
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	12.50	12.50	-0.07	-0.07
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.10	78.12	78.12	0.05	0.05
BYU	WCC	0.09	0.09	70.59	70.59	0.04	0.04
UTEP	CUSA	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
SMU	Amer	0.08	0.08	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
New Orleans	Slnd	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.08	0.08	28.57	28.57	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Wichita St.	Amer	0.08	0.08	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Maine	AE	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
Akron	MAC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	BSth	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	6.67	6.67	-0.07	-0.07
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	28.57	28.57	-0.03	-0.03
Mercer	SC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Radford	BSth	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Temple	Amer	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
UMKC	WAC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
UNC Asheville	BSth	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
UNC Greensboro	SC	0.08	0.08	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
UNLV	MWC	0.08	0.08	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Davidson	A10	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.07	0.07	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.07	0.07	37.50	37.50	-0.02	-0.02
Saint Louis	A10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	Amer	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
Idaho	BSky	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Utah	P12	0.07	0.07	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.07	0.07	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Creighton	BE	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	8.00	8.00	-0.05	-0.05
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	53.57	53.57	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	CUSA	0.05	0.05	17.86	17.86	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	CUSA	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CUSA	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	32.35	32.35	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Grand Canyon	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Nebraska Omaha	Sum	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	CUSA	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	Amer	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	Slnd	0.05	0.05	10.71	10.71	-0.04	-0.04
Longwood	BSth	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Pacific	WCC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
VMI	SC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	57.14	57.14	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	14.29	14.29	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P12	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Washington	P12	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Quinnipiac	MAAC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Missouri	SEC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	SEC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
TCU	B12	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	CAA	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	78.79	78.79	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	CUSA	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.06	58.06	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	Amer	0.03	0.03	88.24	88.24	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	Amer	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
LIU Brooklyn	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	16.67	16.67	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	71.43	71.43	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Penn	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	ACC	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.03	0.03	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
UCF	Amer	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
LSU	SEC	0.02	0.02	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Seattle	WAC	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	Sum	0.02	0.02	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.02	0.02	80.00	80.00	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.02	0.02	37.50	37.50	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Oregon	P12	0.02	0.02	64.71	64.71	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
UMass Lowell	AE	0.02	0.02	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01